SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Boston River | 18 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 18 | 4 | 29 |
| 5 | Penarol | 18 | 4 | 29 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Penarol | 18 | 4 | 29 |
| 6 | Montevideo Wanderers | 18 | 7 | 28 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 18 | -1 | 26 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
31.66% ( 0.11) | 29.02% ( 0.72) | 39.32% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 44.3% ( -1.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.72% ( -2.44) | 62.28% ( 2.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.06% ( -1.82) | 81.94% ( 1.83) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( -1.22) | 35.93% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% ( -1.27) | 72.71% ( 1.28) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( -1.7) | 30.85% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( -2.04) | 67.13% ( 2.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.99% Total : 31.65% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.97)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.29)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.02% | 0-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 3% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.31% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
