SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | River Plate |
33.44% ( -0.07) | 28.35% ( 0.04) | 38.21% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.57% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.33% ( -0.15) | 59.68% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.01% ( -0.11) | 79.99% ( 0.12) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( -0.13) | 33.27% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.11% ( -0.14) | 69.89% ( 0.14) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( -0.06) | 30.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.63% ( -0.07) | 66.38% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.44% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.34% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
