SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 48.84%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Fenix |
48.84% ( -0.39) | 25.19% ( 0.15) | 25.96% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 52.14% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% ( -0.43) | 50.73% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% ( -0.38) | 72.62% ( 0.38) |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( -0.34) | 20.78% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.56% ( -0.54) | 53.44% ( 0.54) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( -0.03) | 34.17% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% ( -0.04) | 70.86% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 48.84% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.96% |
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