SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
36.23% ( 0.56) | 25.06% ( -0.11) | 38.7% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 57.5% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( 0.53) | 45.97% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% ( 0.5) | 68.28% ( -0.51) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( 0.56) | 24.83% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.58% ( 0.78) | 59.42% ( -0.79) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0) | 23.51% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% ( 0) | 57.54% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.84% Total : 36.23% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.06% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.7% |
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