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Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Mohamed V
CD

Morocco
1 - 1
Congo DR

Hakimi (6')
Amallah (40'), Ziyech (44'), Adli (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wamangituka (76')
Mbemba (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Tanzania
Wednesday, January 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Congo DR 1-1 Zambia
Wednesday, January 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Morocco 3-1 Congo DR

While Congo DR have fared well against Morocco in the past, the Atlas Lions currently have arguably the best squad in the competition on paper, and they are quickly becoming one of the most formidable teams on the continent. This should be a good watch, but we can only see it ending in victory for the tournament favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 52.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.44%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
MoroccoDrawCongo DR
52.6% (0.058 0.06) 27.93% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04) 19.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 38.04% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.59% (0.105 0.11)65.4% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.83% (0.072000000000001 0.07)84.17% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (0.075000000000003 0.08)25.4% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (0.104 0.1)60.21% (-0.107 -0.11)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51% (0.044000000000004 0.04)49% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.04% (0.029999999999998 0.03)83.95% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 52.59%
    Congo DR 19.46%
    Draw 27.92%
MoroccoDrawCongo DR
1-0 @ 17.05% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.68%
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 52.59%
0-0 @ 12.44% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-1 @ 12.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 8.88% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 19.46%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Tanzania
Wednesday, January 17 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Morocco 3-1 Sierra Leone
Thursday, January 11 at 3pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Morocco
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Morocco 3-0 Liberia
Tuesday, October 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-1 Morocco
Saturday, October 14 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Morocco 1-0 Burkina Faso
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo DR 1-1 Zambia
Wednesday, January 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Congo DR 1-2 Burkina Faso
Wednesday, January 10 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo DR 0-0 Angola
Saturday, January 6 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sudan 1-0 Congo DR
Sunday, November 19 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Congo DR 2-0 Mauritania
Wednesday, November 15 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Angola 0-0 Congo DR
Tuesday, October 17 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies


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