Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
NAC Breda	Draw	De Graafschap
47.65% ( 0.05)	23.22% ( -0)	29.13% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 61.28% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.16% (

-0.02)

39.84% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.8% (

-0.02)

62.2% (

0.02)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83% (

0.01)

17% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.88% (

0.02)

47.12% (

-0.02)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

-0.04)

26.16% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75% (

-0.05)

61.24% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

NAC Breda 47.65%

De Graafschap 29.13%

Draw 23.21%

NAC Breda	Draw	De Graafschap
2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 4.14% Total : 47.65%	1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.21%	1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.13%