Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a FC Eindhoven win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.02) 
