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J1 League | Gameweek 9
Apr 21, 2024 at 7am UK
Toyota Stadium

Nagoya Grampus
2 - 1
Cerezo

Mikuni (65'), Nagai (82')
Yoshida (23'), Mikuni (62'), Chang-Rae (87'), Ha (87'), Morishima (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mikuni (67')
Capixaba (78')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
29.23% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 28.05% (0.052 0.05) 42.72% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.05% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.33% (-0.186 -0.19)59.67% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.01% (-0.141 -0.14)79.98% (0.13799999999999 0.14)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (-0.111 -0.11)36.36% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (-0.111 -0.11)73.14% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (-0.11 -0.11)27.65% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81% (-0.139 -0.14)63.19% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 29.22%
    Cerezo Osaka 42.72%
    Draw 28.04%
Nagoya GrampusDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 29.22%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.05% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.04%
0-1 @ 12.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 42.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, April 13 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 7 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Consadole 1-2 Nagoya Grampus
Wednesday, April 3 at 11.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-1 Yokohama
Saturday, March 30 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 0-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, March 9 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Kawasaki
Saturday, April 13 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-1 Cerezo
Sunday, April 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Cerezo
Wednesday, April 3 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, March 30 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Cerezo
Saturday, March 16 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, March 9 at 7am in J1 League


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