Nantes are in awful league form and have a huge distraction on their minds with the cup final to come, but are arguably facing the perfect opponents right now.
Troyes have drawn a blank in six of their last seven Ligue 1 fixtures against Nantes, and with senior players seemingly giving up the ghost, ESTAC's fate seems settled.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 52.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 23.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
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