Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.
Result | ||
Necaxa | Draw | Juarez |
38.69% ( -0.17) | 24.7% ( -0.02) | 36.61% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 58.82% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.71% ( 0.09) | 44.29% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.34% ( 0.08) | 66.66% ( -0.08) |
Necaxa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% ( -0.05) | 22.76% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.55% ( -0.07) | 56.45% ( 0.08) |
Juarez Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.15% ( 0.14) | 23.85% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.96% ( 0.2) | 58.04% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Necaxa | Draw | Juarez |
2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.69% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 36.61% |
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