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Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 25, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
3 - 0
Juarez

Paradela (29' pen.), Montes (70'), Badaloni (78')
Palavecino (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Salcedo (29'), Orquin (34'), Campillo (55'), Venegas (77')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 5-0 Necaxa
Friday, August 9 at 4am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Juarez 2-3 Colorado
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30am in Leagues Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawJuarez
38.69% (-0.172 -0.17) 24.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 36.61% (0.19 0.19)
Both teams to score 58.82% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.71% (0.088000000000001 0.09)44.29% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.34% (0.084000000000003 0.08)66.66% (-0.083999999999989 -0.08)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.24% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.76% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.55% (-0.073 -0.07)56.45% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.15% (0.143 0.14)23.85% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.96% (0.204 0.2)58.04% (-0.203 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 38.69%
    Juarez 36.61%
    Draw 24.7%
NecaxaDrawJuarez
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.95% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 38.69%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.92% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.016 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 36.61%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Earthquakes 5-0 Necaxa
Friday, August 9 at 4am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Seattle 1-3 Necaxa
Monday, August 5 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-0 Necaxa
Wednesday, July 31 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Club Leon 1-1 Necaxa
Monday, July 22 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 0-1 Monterrey
Thursday, July 18 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 4-1 Puebla
Sunday, July 14 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 2-3 Colorado
Saturday, August 10 at 2.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 Juarez (1-5 pen.)
Monday, August 5 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Dallas 0-2 Juarez
Thursday, August 1 at 2am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Juarez 1-2 Frankfurt
Friday, July 26 at 2.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Juarez 1-2 America
Sunday, July 21 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-2 Pumas
Thursday, July 18 at 2.06am in Liga MX


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