Liga MX | Gameweek 2
Jul 14, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duran (87')
Manuel de la Torre Menchaca (37')
We said: Necaxa 1-1 Puebla
The last six meetings between these two sides have seen the home team fail to win, and we expect this trend to continue on Sunday, given Necaxa's recent inconsistency at home.
Puebla also look like a rejuvenated side, and they have not lost on their last four visits to Necaxa.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.
| Result |
| Necaxa | Draw | Puebla |
46.42% ( 0.03) | 25.28% ( -0) | 28.29% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.68% ( -0.01) |
| 50.42% ( -0.01) | 49.58% ( 0.01) |
| 28.39% ( -0.01) | 71.61% ( 0.01) |
| 78.63% ( 0.01) | 21.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.65% ( 0.01) | 54.35% ( -0.01) |
| 68.26% ( -0.03) | 31.73% ( 0.03) |
