There is little to separate the teams heading into this weekend's clash which could easily swing either way. However, we just about fancy New England Revolution to make home advantage count and emerge triumphant from what should be a cracking contest.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
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