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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New England Revolution in this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Nashville SC |
50.28% ( 0.61) | 26% ( -0.36) | 23.72% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 47.62% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.41% ( 1.11) | 55.6% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.24% ( 0.9) | 76.76% ( -0.9) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( 0.74) | 22.17% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.44% ( 1.1) | 55.56% ( -1.1) |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.18% ( 0.39) | 38.82% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.45% ( 0.37) | 75.55% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Nashville SC |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.97% Total : 50.28% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.37)2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.76% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 23.72% |
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