SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | CF Montreal |
53.31% ( 0.84) | 22.68% ( -0.22) | 24% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 58.34% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.41% ( 0.39) | 41.59% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.01% ( 0.4) | 63.99% ( -0.4) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.39% ( 0.43) | 15.61% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.4% ( 0.8) | 44.6% ( -0.8) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( -0.3) | 30.87% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.85% ( -0.35) | 67.15% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.65% Total : 53.31% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.67% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.85% Total : 24% |
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