SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New England Revolution in this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
42.43% ( 0.7) | 25.5% ( 0.03) | 32.07% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.2% ( -0.36) | 48.8% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.1% ( -0.33) | 70.9% ( 0.33) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( 0.19) | 22.89% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.37% ( 0.27) | 56.63% ( -0.27) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( -0.65) | 28.7% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.48% ( -0.82) | 64.52% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.07% |
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