Although the Revs have endured a poor run of form, they have fared well against the NY Red Bulls in recent times, and we think they will utilise home advantage to claim all three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.