Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Macarthur
43.09% ( 0.43)	22.41% ( -0.08)	34.5% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 67.07% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.62% (

0.32)

33.38% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.84% (

0.36)

55.16% (

-0.36)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79% (

0.29)

16.22% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.29% (

0.53)

45.71% (

-0.53)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05% (

-0.02)

19.95% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.89% (

-0.04)

52.11% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 43.09%

Macarthur 34.5%

Draw 22.41%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.71% Total : 43.09%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.41%	1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.51% 3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 34.5%