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Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Oct 19, 2024 at 7am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
MC

Newcastle Jets
0 - 1
Melbourne City


Adams (40'), Grozos (65'), Aquilina (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tilio (2')
Talbot (4'), Cohen (33'), Ugarkovic (51'), Schreiber (89'), Politidis (90')
Jeggo (70')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City (3-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.67%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne City
25.34% (-0.108 -0.11) 20.29% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 54.37% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 68.8% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.4% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)28.6% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.51% (-0.073 -0.07)49.49% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.2% (-0.104 -0.1)22.79% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.5% (-0.152 -0.15)56.5% (0.152 0.15)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.11% (0.013000000000005 0.01)10.88% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.98% (0.024999999999991 0.02)35.02% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 25.34%
    Melbourne City 54.37%
    Draw 20.29%
Newcastle JetsDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 25.34%
1-1 @ 8.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.48% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 20.29%
1-2 @ 9.02% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.67% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.1% (0.027 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.93% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.51% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.7% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 2.5% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.64% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-5 @ 1.21%
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 54.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-4 Sydney FC
Thursday, July 18 at 7am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Central Coast
Saturday, April 27 at 8.15am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Wellington
Friday, April 19 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Sydney FC
Sunday, April 7 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 30 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City (3-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-0 Western Utd
Sunday, April 28 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 20 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 8-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 14 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 6 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Melbourne City
Tuesday, April 2 at 9am in Australian A-League


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