SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 71.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 12.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
71.28% ( 0.09) | 16.53% ( -0.06) | 12.19% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.89% ( 0.19) | 33.11% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.14% ( 0.22) | 54.85% ( -0.22) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.8% ( 0.06) | 8.2% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.29% ( 0.16) | 28.71% ( -0.17) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.1% ( 0.08) | 38.9% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.37% ( 0.07) | 75.63% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 2-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.32% ( -0)1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 71.28% | 1-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.53% | 1-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 12.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
