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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 24.93% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (5.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
55.58% ( 0.08) | 19.49% ( -0.07) | 24.93% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 71.5% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.98% ( 0.36) | 25.02% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.06% ( 0.47) | 44.94% ( -0.47) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.57% ( 0.14) | 9.43% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.3% ( 0.31) | 31.7% ( -0.31) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( 0.2) | 21.06% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.14% ( 0.31) | 53.86% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.57% 5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.39% Total : 55.58% | 1-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.49% | 1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 24.93% |
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