There have been 22 Premier League draws in games involving Newcastle and Brighton so far this season, including the reverse fixture between the two teams, and another closely-fought contest could be on the cards this weekend.
The Seagulls will likely make themselves difficult to break down but we can see the Magpies securing at least a point on home soil to maintain their unbeaten start to 2022.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
