SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
60.57% ( 0.62) | 20.34% ( -0.14) | 19.08% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.87% ( -0.13) | 37.12% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.68% ( -0.14) | 59.32% ( 0.14) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.09% ( 0.13) | 11.9% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.76% ( 0.28) | 37.24% ( -0.29) |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( -0.57) | 32.84% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.59% ( -0.64) | 69.41% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 7% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.23% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.19% Total : 19.08% |
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