SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Newry City AFC win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carrick Rangers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
25.3% ( 0.07) | 24.07% ( 0.03) | 50.63% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.45% ( -0.06) | 46.55% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.18% ( -0.06) | 68.82% ( 0.06) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( 0.03) | 32.48% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( 0.03) | 69% ( -0.03) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( -0.07) | 18.41% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.43% ( -0.11) | 49.57% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newry City AFC | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 25.3% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 50.63% |
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