SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
28.27% ( 0.53) | 26.86% ( -0.01) | 44.87% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 48.87% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.18% ( 0.29) | 55.82% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.06% ( 0.24) | 76.94% ( -0.24) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( 0.58) | 35.03% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.22% ( 0.6) | 71.78% ( -0.6) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( -0.13) | 24.77% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.66% ( -0.18) | 59.34% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.11% Total : 28.27% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.87% |
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