SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
30% ( 0.33) | 27.01% ( -0.13) | 42.98% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.35% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.34% ( 0.61) | 55.66% ( -0.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.19% ( 0.49) | 76.81% ( -0.5) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% ( 0.57) | 33.63% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.72% ( 0.62) | 70.28% ( -0.62) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.35% ( 0.17) | 25.65% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.45% ( 0.23) | 60.55% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.39% Total : 30% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 42.98% |
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