Northampton have made a solid start to their league campaign and having fought back so heroically against Barnsley last time out, confidence is sure to be high for the Cobblers. Burton meanwhile have been shipping goals at an alarming rate, having conceded 11 goals in just four games, and their defensive frailties could once again be their undoing here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Burton Albion
38.38% ( 0)	27.53%	34.1%

Both teams to score 49.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.43%

56.57% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.45%

77.55% (

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.41% (

28.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.61% (

64.4%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.76%

31.24% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.41%

67.59% (

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 38.38%

Burton Albion 34.09%

Draw 27.52%

Northampton Town	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 8.15% 2-0 @ 7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.92% 3-2 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.38%	1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 6.05% 1-3 @ 2.94% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.09%