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NL
Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
SL

Norwich
1 - 0
Stoke

Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Preston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-0 Stoke City

Although both teams suffered defeat immediately before the international break, Norwich have look by far the superior side in recent games. With that in mind, we can only predict a home win for the Canaries, heaping the pressure on Neil in the opposite dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
41.1% (0.175 0.17) 26.59% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 32.3% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.54% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (0.135 0.13)53.28% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.117 0.12)74.83% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.15299999999999 0.15)25.55% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.21 0.21)60.41% (-0.208 -0.21)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)30.78% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)67.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.1%
    Stoke City 32.3%
    Draw 26.59%
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Norwich
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Millwall
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Southampton 4-4 Norwich
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Preston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Watford
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 2-1 West Brom
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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