SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Aston Villa |
32.35% ( -0.02) | 25.72% ( -0.05) | 41.92% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.35% ( 0.21) | 49.65% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.33% ( 0.19) | 71.67% ( -0.19) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( 0.09) | 28.93% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.19% ( 0.12) | 64.81% ( -0.12) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( 0.12) | 23.51% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.46% ( 0.18) | 57.54% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.35% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.92% |
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