SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 56.18%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 22.81% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.63%) and 0-1 (7.33%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester United |
22.81% ( -0.34) | 21.01% ( -0.17) | 56.18% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 62.82% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.98% ( 0.42) | 35.02% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.99% ( 0.47) | 57.01% ( -0.46) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( -0.05) | 28.23% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( -0.06) | 63.93% ( 0.07) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.52% ( 0.29) | 12.48% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.56% ( 0.6) | 38.44% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.44% Total : 22.81% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 5.29% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 3.48% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 56.18% |
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