Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nuremberg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
27.57% ( 0.26) | 22.99% ( 0.01) | 49.45% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 60.89% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.16% ( 0.16) | 39.83% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.81% ( 0.17) | 62.19% ( -0.17) |
Nuremberg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.77% ( 0.27) | 27.22% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.35% ( 0.34) | 62.64% ( -0.34) |
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.67% ( -0.04) | 16.33% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.07% ( -0.07) | 45.93% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Nuremberg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.79% 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 27.57% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.45% |
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