SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
33.25% ( -0.05) | 23.46% ( -0.01) | 43.29% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 62.61% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.97% ( 0.02) | 39.03% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.64% ( 0.02) | 61.35% ( -0.02) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.74% ( -0.02) | 23.26% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.81% ( -0.02) | 57.18% ( 0.02) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( 0.03) | 18.41% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.43% ( 0.05) | 49.56% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orenburg | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.25% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.52% 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.25% 0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 43.29% |
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