SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Columbus Crew |
50.69% ( -0.14) | 23.56% ( 0) | 25.75% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 57.22% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.06% ( 0.11) | 43.94% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.67% ( 0.11) | 66.32% ( -0.11) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.59% ( -0.01) | 17.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.16% ( -0.02) | 47.84% ( 0.02) |
| Columbus Crew Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( 0.17) | 30.72% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.02% ( 0.2) | 66.98% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Columbus Crew |
| 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.83% Total : 50.69% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 25.75% |
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