SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
26.62% ( 0.26) | 24.38% ( 0.03) | 49% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( 0.05) | 46.83% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( 0.05) | 69.09% ( -0.04) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% ( 0.23) | 31.57% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.03% ( 0.27) | 67.97% ( -0.26) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% ( -0.1) | 19.17% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.17% ( -0.16) | 50.83% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.62% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 10% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.01% |
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