Leganes have not managed to beat Osasuna in La Liga since November 2016, and it is a big ask for the promoted outfit to win on Saturday. That said, we like the look of the Leganes squad this season and believe that they can claim a point in their campaign opener here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.82) 
-0.27) 
