SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
47.52% ( 0.01) | 25.83% ( 0.01) | 26.65% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( -0.05) | 52.82% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( -0.05) | 74.44% ( 0.05) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( -0.02) | 22.23% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% ( -0.02) | 55.65% ( 0.02) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( -0.05) | 34.73% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% ( -0.05) | 71.46% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.51% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.65% |
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