Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ascoli had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.12%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for an Ascoli win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.01) 
