SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Minnesota United |
54.94% ( -1.19) | 22.19% ( 0.5) | 22.88% ( 0.7) |
| Both teams to score 58.64% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.45% ( -1.5) | 40.56% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.07% ( -1.56) | 62.94% ( 1.57) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( -0.88) | 14.71% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.1% ( -1.73) | 42.9% ( 1.74) |
| Minnesota United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% ( -0.23) | 31.26% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.4% ( -0.27) | 67.6% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Minnesota United |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.13)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.94% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.73% Total : 22.88% |
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