SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Platense had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.74%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Platense win was 1-0 (12.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Platense | Draw | Boca Juniors |
31.05% ( -0.32) | 30.62% ( 0.04) | 38.34% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 40.1% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.7% ( -0.17) | 67.3% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.54% ( -0.11) | 85.47% ( 0.11) |
| Platense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.82% ( -0.34) | 39.18% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.11% ( -0.32) | 75.89% ( 0.33) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.93% ( 0.09) | 34.07% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.24% ( 0.09) | 70.76% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Platense | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.51% Total : 31.04% | 1-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.61% | 0-1 @ 14.37% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.09)1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.33% |
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