Barnsley may be competing in the league above Port Vale, but we think they could experience a tough outing at Vale Park on Saturday. Having gone 11 games without defeat, we believe the hosts will hold the Tykes to a draw to take the tie to extra time where the benefit of their home support could help them get over the line against their League One opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Barnsley
43.23% ( 0)	25.14% ( -0)	31.63% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 56.02% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.63% (

47.37% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.41% (

0.01)

69.58% (

-0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.11% (

21.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.85% (

0.01)

55.14% (

-0.01)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.72% (

-0)

28.27% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01%

63.99% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 43.23%

Barnsley 31.63%

Draw 25.13%

Port Vale	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.23%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.73% Total : 31.63%