SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 88.33%. A draw had a probability of 8.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 3.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.49%) and 4-0 (10.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.06%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Boavista |
88.33% ( -0.13) | 8.59% ( 0.11) | 3.08% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 35.74% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.37% ( -0.48) | 30.63% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.06% ( -0.58) | 51.95% ( 0.58) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.55% ( -0.1) | 4.45% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 81.69% ( -0.32) | 18.31% ( 0.32) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.41% ( -0.24) | 62.6% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.08% ( -0.11) | 91.92% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Boavista |
| 3-0 @ 13.99% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 13.49% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.17)5-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)7-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.9% Total : 88.31% | 1-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 8.59% | 0-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 3.08% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
