Reeling from their midweek European disappointment, Porto will head into Saturday's game in search of a pick-me-up. Conceicao's men have been imperious in this fixture, and given the gulf in quality and experience between the two teams, we are backing them to claim a comfortable victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 8.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (10.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
0.24) 
-0.1) 
