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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Jun 4, 2024 at 7pm UK
Parque Palermo
CL

Progreso
0 - 1
Cerro Largo


Lopez (26'), Colombino (74'), Poiso (89')
Poiso (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Assis (86')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Progreso
Friday, May 24 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 3-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 26 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
ProgresoDrawCerro Largo
41.22% (1.638 1.64) 25.93% (0.139 0.14) 32.85% (-1.771 -1.77)
Both teams to score 53.85% (-0.893 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61% (-0.959 -0.96)50.39% (0.965 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67% (-0.856 -0.86)72.33% (0.86200000000001 0.86)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.81% (0.41699999999999 0.42)24.18% (-0.411 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (0.58799999999999 0.59)58.51% (-0.581 -0.58)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-1.575 -1.58)28.97% (1.58 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (-1.997 -2)64.86% (2.003 2)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 41.22%
    Cerro Largo 32.85%
    Draw 25.93%
ProgresoDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.496 0.5)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.164 0.16)
2-0 @ 7.06% (0.432 0.43)
3-1 @ 4.14% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.34% (0.242 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.22%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.01% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.63% (-0.291 -0.29)
0-2 @ 5.38% (-0.272 -0.27)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.161 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 32.85%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Penarol 3-1 Progreso
Friday, May 24 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Fenix 1-0 Progreso
Saturday, May 18 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 1-4 Defensor
Sunday, May 12 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 2-0 Progreso
Saturday, May 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 2-1 Liverpool
Sunday, April 28 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-2 Progreso
Sunday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 3-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 26 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 1-0 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 19 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 12 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-3 Cerro Largo
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-0 Boston River
Saturday, April 27 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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