Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Lille had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
52.63% (![]() | 23.34% (![]() | 24.03% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.12% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.46% (![]() | 44.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.09% (![]() | 66.9% (![]() |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.08% (![]() | 16.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.02% (![]() | 46.97% (![]() |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.55% (![]() | 32.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.03% (![]() | 68.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
2-1 @ 9.75% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.75% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.67% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.13% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.63% | 1-1 @ 10.97% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 6.18% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.3% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 24.03% |
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