SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.34%) and 1-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Lyon win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
60.36% ( -0.2) | 20.06% ( 0.13) | 19.59% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.18% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.07% ( -0.52) | 34.93% ( 0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.09% ( -0.59) | 56.91% ( 0.59) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.71% ( -0.21) | 11.29% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.08% ( -0.46) | 35.93% ( 0.46) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( -0.25) | 31.04% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.65% ( -0.29) | 67.35% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.78% Total : 60.36% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 19.59% |
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