Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 22.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Rennes win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Rennes |
54.6% ( -0.23) | 22.74% ( 0.34) | 22.66% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 56.44% ( -1.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.67% ( -1.67) | 43.33% ( 1.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.27% ( -1.67) | 65.72% ( 1.66) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.21% ( -0.66) | 15.78% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.07% ( -1.24) | 44.93% ( 1.23) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.02% ( -1.03) | 32.98% ( 1.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.43% ( -1.15) | 69.56% ( 1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Rennes |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.58% Total : 54.6% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 22.66% |
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