While Twente have been in impressive league form in the lead-up to this match, PSV simply look like a different beast right now and are making scoring goals in the top flight look ridiculously easy. The hosts have already hit the back of the net 23 times in six matches at Philips Stadion this season, and we feel they will add a few more to their tally in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Twente
64.4% ( -0)	18.59%	17% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.5% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.76% (

32.23% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.16% (

53.84% (

-0)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.5%

9.5% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.13% (

31.87% (

-0)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.96% (

32.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.49% (

68.5% (

-0)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 64.4%

FC Twente 17%

Draw 18.59%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.53% 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.83% 5-2 @ 1.19% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.87% Total : 64.4%	1-1 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.59%	1-2 @ 4.64% 0-1 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.97% 1-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.09% Total : 17%