SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 78.92%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.6%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
78.92% ( 0.05) | 12.75% ( -0.1) | 8.33% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.13% ( 0.78) | 25.87% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.96% ( 0.99) | 46.05% ( -0.99) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.84% ( 0.16) | 5.17% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.53% ( 0.48) | 20.47% ( -0.48) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.39% ( 0.75) | 40.62% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.79% ( 0.67) | 77.21% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.09)6-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.06)5-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.07)Other @ 5.69% Total : 78.92% | 1-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 12.75% | 1-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 8.33% |
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