Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pumas in this match.
-0.13) 
0.04) 
