Rayo's start to the season has been impressive, picking up 11 points from seven matches, and we are backing the home side to secure another win here. Mallorca conceded five in their last away game against Girona, and they might be left disappointed once again on the road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
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