Sevilla have struggled on their travels this season, but Rayo have won just one of their 10 league games in front of their own supporters. Three of the last four La Liga games between these two sides have finished level, meanwhile, and we are expecting the points to be shared once again on Monday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
0.63) 
-0.75) 
